Poland’s Bipartisan Revival Of Chechen Separatist Narratives Is Pure Copium

Poland’s Bipartisan Revival Of Chechen Separatist Narratives Is Pure Copium

By Andrew Korybko

This coordinated information warfare offensive by Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki of the ruling party and former Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski of the opposition comes after the “official narrative” about the Ukrainian Conflict decisively shifted earlier this month. That context contributes to the conclusion that Poland’s bipartisan effort to revive Chechen separatist narratives is pure “copium”. In this case, Russia’s emerging military-strategic momentum in the Ukrainian Conflict is bad news for the West, hence the need for a distraction by once again indulging in the political fantasy of “Balkanizing” that Eurasian Great Power.

Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki of the ruling “Law & Justice”(PiS per its Polish acronym) party and former Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski of the opposition “Civic Platform” (PO per its Polish acronym) curiously revived Chechen separatist narratives on the exact same day last Friday. The first did so in an interview with France’s Le Figaro while the second did this in an interview with Poland’s Krytyka Polityczna. Here’s how Morawiecki spun the revival of Chechen separatist narratives:

“There are parts of Russia that are prisons for other nations. These parts of Russia could be liberated, like Chechnya for example. They could take their independence. They have fought for their freedom for centuries and for the past few decades they have been fighting with great motivation. I believe that this country deserves its independence.”

And here’s how Sikorski contributed to this information warfare effort:

“I don’t think that [the Ukrainian Conflict] threatens Russia[‘s disintegration], possibly somewhere on the border, like in Dagestan or Chechnya – perhaps a very weakened Russia will be forced to retreat to its home territory. But I don’t see any parts of Russia proper, any republic or oblast that would resist the strategic Moscow-Petersburg axis.”

The Political Fantasy To ‘Decolonize Russia’ Is Doomed To Fail Due To Its People’s Patriotism”, which cuts across identity lines due to this civilization-state’s historical cosmopolitanism, yet it’s still worthwhile analysing this latest talk about “Balkanizing” that Eurasian Great Power. The first observation to made about this is that it’s a truly bipartisan effort on behalf of the otherwise irreparably divided Polish elite, which shows that it’s now part of that aspiring regional hegemon’s grand strategy.

Building upon the preceding insight, the second observation is that this represents the revival of inter-war Poland’s “Prometheist” policy of externally exacerbating identity differences within the erstwhile USSR for the purpose of dividing and ruling its people. That approach falls within the ambit of what’s nowadays referred to as Hybrid Warfare, but it actually has its ideological roots in former US President Woodrow Wilson’s so-called “Fourteen Points” aimed at “Balkanizing” the entire Eastern Hemisphere.

This was precisely the policy that the late Polish-born US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski urged the US to practice towards Russia in his seminal 1997 book about “The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy And Its Geostrategic Imperatives”. Intriguingly, Sikorski referenced that mastermind in his latest interview on Friday, which forms the third observation to be made about this bipartisan anti-Russian information warfare campaign.

In response to former US Secretary of State and National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger’s newfound support for Ukraine’s NATO membership, Sikorski said that “his opinion not only reflects, but also shapes a deeper trend in the thinking of the Western elite. At the same time, Kissinger – unlike, for example, Zbigniew Brzeziński, who took into account many more variables in his geopolitical calculations – is the pope of the so-called realistic school of thought that treats states as black boxes.”

Sikorski then proceeded to critique the Realist school of International Relations thought, but the point of pertinence to the present piece is that he referenced Brzezinski in order to convey his belief that this Polish thinker’s overall approach to the world was ultimately more accurate that Kissinger’s. It’s also likely not a coincidence that he brought Brzezinski up in the answer that he shared immediately after attempting to revive Chechen separatism.

Moving along, the fourth observation to be made about Morawiecki and Sikorski’s clearly coordinated information warfare offensive against Russia is that it comes after the “official narrative” about the Ukrainian Conflict decisively shifted earlier this month. American and Polish officials, Morawiecki himself included, went from prematurely celebrating Ukraine’s supposedly “inevitable” victory to seriously warning about its possible loss in NATO’s proxy war on Russia.

This context directly leads into the final point whereby it can therefore be concluded that Poland’s bipartisan effort to revive Chechen separatist narratives is pure “copium”, which refers to delusional “feel-good” narratives shared by perception managers in order to distract their targeted audience from “inconvenient facts” that work against their side’s interests. In this case, Russia’s emerging military-strategic momentum in this conflict is bad news for the West, hence the need for a distraction.

On the one hand, they can no longer deny this objective reality and that’s why their officials decisively shifted the “official narrative”, but on the other hand, they don’t want their targeted audience to sink into so-called “doom-and-gloom” thinking that leads to despondence and apathy. Should that happen, then they’ll be less likely to continue supporting the indefinite perpetuation of this proxy war, hence the need to keep pumping them with “copium” such as getting their hopes up about Chechen separatism.

As was earlier mentioned in this analysis, it’s a political fantasy to imagine that Russia be successfully “Balkanized” through faux-“decolonisation” that masks myriad Hybrid War plots to divide and rule this cosmopolitan Eurasian Great Power on an identity-centric basis. That’s why Poland’s latest bipartisan effort to revive Chechen separatism is fated to fail, yet that same narrative still serves a self-interested purpose insofar as functioning as “copium” to distract Westerners from Kiev’s increasingly likely defeat.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.

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Categories: Geopolitics, International Affairs

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