The US’ Coercion Of Panama Over The Canal Presages Impending Military Tensions With China By Andrew Korybko The US wants to preemptively neutralize as many of the means as possible through which China could asymmetrically respond to this scenario in plausibly… Read More ›
Geopolitics
Ukraine’s Territorial Concessions Might Precede A Ceasefire That Leads To New Ukrainian Elections
Ukraine’s Territorial Concessions Might Precede A Ceasefire That Leads To New Ukrainian Elections By Andrew Korybko The path to peace will predictably be paved by a ceasefire, which will itself likely require some territorial concessions on Ukraine’s part in order for… Read More ›
Why Did Trump Just Repost His Threat To Impose 100% Tariffs On BRICS Countries?
Why Did Trump Just Repost His Threat To Impose 100% Tariffs On BRICS Countries? By Andrew Korybko A full-fledged economic pressure campaign by the US against the BRICS countries might be imminent. Trump reposted late November’s threat to impose 100% tariffs on… Read More ›
Ukraine’s Western Borders Are Unlikely To Change After The Conflict Ends
Ukraine’s Western Borders Are Unlikely To Change After The Conflict Ends By Andrew Korybko Two recent developments revived speculation about this long-running political fantasy coming true. Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) chief Sergey Naryshkin’s proposal to organize a conference of historians from his… Read More ›
Five Takeaways From Trump’s Plans To Build An Iron Dome For America
Five Takeaways From Trump’s Plans To Build An Iron Dome For America By Andrew Korybko This is a game-changer in the New Cold War since it’ll take the US’ rivalry with Russia and China to a qualitatively more dangerous level through… Read More ›
France Won’t Fight The US Over Greenland
France Won’t Fight The US Over Greenland By Andrew Korybko It’s not going to risk breaking up NATO, let alone over a war that it’ll certainly lose, no matter how tough its Foreign Minister is trying to sound as part of… Read More ›
Poland Won’t Send Troops To Belarus Or Ukraine Without Trump’s Approval
Poland Won’t Send Troops To Belarus Or Ukraine Without Trump’s Approval By Andrew Korybko Trump is unlikely to extend Article 5 guarantees to Polish troops in Belarus and Ukraine, who’d be attacked by Russia the moment that they intervene, so Lukashenko’s… Read More ›
Trump’s Tariff Threats And Renaming Controversies: Straining Mexican-American Relations
Trump’s Tariff Threats And Renaming Controversies: Straining Mexican-American Relations By Uriel Araujo Trump’s statements and measures not only alienate neighbours such as Mexico (foreign-policy wise) but also, in terms of domestic policy and ethnopolitical issues, have the potential to further alienate… Read More ›
What Explains Russia’s Swift Policy Recalibration Towards The Latest Congolese Crisis?
What Explains Russia’s Swift Policy Recalibration Towards The Latest Congolese Crisis? By Andrew Korybko The latest Congolese Crisis has the potential to decisively shift the balance of power in the New Cold War depending on how it develops and what the… Read More ›
Mutual Interest In Resuming Arms Control Talks Can Speed Up The Ukrainian Peace Process
Mutual Interest In Resuming Arms Control Talks Can Speed Up The Ukrainian Peace Process By Andrew Korybko A new global arms race could follow the expiry of the New START in early 2026 if it’s not renewed or replaced. Kremlin spokesman… Read More ›