Belarus Handled A Recent Border Incident With Poland In The Best Way Possible By Andrew Korybko Had Belarus reacted to this brief border violation like how Poland reacts to mere paranoia, then it would have played into the Polish ruling party’s… Read More ›
What’s Behind Lukashenko’s Surprise Proposal For A Belarusian-Polish Rapprochement? By Andrew Korybko These pragmatic intentions are being made public at this particular time to exploit the opportunity presented by rapidly deteriorating economic and political ties between Poland and Ukraine. Zelensky is… Read More ›
Poland Might Exploit Wagner’s Presence In Belarus As The Pretext For Sabotaging Peace Talks By Andrew Korybko Wagner’s presence in Belarus serves as the perfect pretext for Poland and its Lithuanian ally to escalate tensions with Russia if they exploit it… Read More ›
Fake News Alert: Russia Isn’t Plotting A False Flag Attack Against A Belarusian Oil Refinery By Andrew Korybko If Kiev’s false flag plot for its special forces to attack Belarus’ Mozyr oil refinery while disguised as Wagner is allowed to proceed,… Read More ›
Is Wagner About To Go Rogue Again? By Andrew Korybko There are three interpretations of why Lukashenko just publicly shared his concerns with Putin about the possibility of Wagner invading Poland. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko told his Russian counterpart during talks on Sunday… Read More ›
The Latest Polish-Belarusian Border Tensions Actually Advance Both Of Their Interests By Andrew Korybko The interests of Belarus, Wagner, and Russia have already been served, which is why none of those three has any motivation to escalate the situation with Poland,… Read More ›
Fake News Alert: Wagner Isn’t Going To Invade The Suwalki Corridor From Belarus By Andrew Korybko It’s worth paying much more attention to what Chairman of the Duma’s Defence Committee Andrey Kartapolov actually said than what the Daily Mail sensationally claimed… Read More ›
Lukashenko’s Suggestion To Learn From Wagner Doesn’t Mean That The Coup Was “Maskirovka” By Andrew Korybko Just because President Putin averted the large-scale bloodshed that his country’s existential enemies wanted to see and then turned this crisis to the Union State’s… Read More ›
Exiling Prigozhin And His Collaborators To Belarus Serves Russia’s Interests By Andrew Korybko This pragmatic de-escalation deal served more Russian interests than just nipping a potentially incipient civil war in the bud, however, though the following outcomes were of course improvised… Read More ›
Lukashenko Strongly Hinted That He Expects Belgorod-Like Proxy Incursions Against Belarus By Andrew Korybko The very fact that the Belarusian leader said that NATO and/or Ukraine’s dispatch of “small units” to his country wouldn’t cross his red line suggests that he… Read More ›