Belarus’ Dramatic Pivot On Poland Points To A Deepening Rift With Russia By Andrew Korybko This is arguably the result of growing US influence over Belarus throughout the course of their talks. Russia and Belarus coordinate military policy through the CSTO,… Read More ›
CSTO
Ukrainian Drone Attacks On The CPC Threaten To Upend Kazakhstan And Reshape Russia’s Southern Flank
Ukrainian Drone Attacks On The CPC Threaten To Upend Kazakhstan And Reshape Russia’s Southern Flank By Andrew Korybko Continued strikes across 2026 could lead to protracted disruptions that greatly reduce Kazakhstan’s budgetary revenue and result in social spending slashes for next… Read More ›
Kazakhstan Might Have Just Placed Itself On An Irreversible Collision Course With Russia
Kazakhstan Might Have Just Placed Itself On An Irreversible Collision Course With Russia By Andrew Korybko The production of NATO-standard shells hints that Kazakhstan plans to follow in Azerbaijan’s footsteps by having its armed forces conform with the bloc’s standards ahead… Read More ›
How Can The US Manage Turkish-Russian Tensions In The South Caucasus And Central Asia?
How Can The US Manage Turkish-Russian Tensions In The South Caucasus and Central Asia? By Andrew Korybko The essence of these five policy proposals is to preemptively avert another NATO-Russian security dilemma and the rise of associated threats along Russia’s frontiers… Read More ›
The “Community Of Central Asia” Could Reduce Russia’s Regional Influence
The “Community Of Central Asia” Could Reduce Russia’s Regional Influence By Andrew Korybko This new group might foster a stronger sense of shared regional identity among its members, even ethnic in the pan-Turkic sense (Tajikistan being the exception), than the one… Read More ›
Why Did Kazakhstan Join The Abraham Accords When It Already Recognizes Israel?
Why Did Kazakhstan Join The Abraham Accords When It Already Recognizes Israel? By Andrew Korybko Its leader likely did this as a personal favour for Trump so that he’d have his back if trouble ever arises with Russia such as if… Read More ›
Kazakhstan And Uzbekistan’s Mineral Deals Signal A New Phase In US Pressure Politics
Kazakhstan And Uzbekistan’s Mineral Deals Signal A New Phase In US Pressure Politics By Andrew Korybko The new strategic stakes that the US has in the region are expected to bolster its commitment to developing two new trade routes to there,… Read More ›
Pakistan Can Tip The Balance Of Power In Central Asia
Pakistan Can Tip The Balance Of Power In Central Asia By Andrew Korybko Colluding with the US on destabilizing Afghanistan and returning Western military infrastructure to the region would turbocharge the emerging Turkic Bloc’s rise at the expense of Russia’s influence… Read More ›
The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position
The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position By Andrew Korybko Armenia might defect from the CSTO while Turkish and NATO influence could surge all along Russia’s southern periphery, which might embolden Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan to defy Iran and… Read More ›
The “Trump Bridge” Could Lead To Russia’s Expulsion From The South Caucasus
The “Trump Bridge” Could Lead To Russia’s Expulsion From The South Caucasus By Andrew Korybko Armenia might formally withdraw from the CSTO and then replace Russian troops with American PMCs. US Ambassador to Turkiye Tom Barrack proposed in mid-July that his country lease… Read More ›