Here’s What the US’ Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Look Like By Andrew Korybko Trump appears to be pushing his luck with Putin, who’s open to compromises, not concessions, let alone significant security ones. If this approach doesn’t change, then a… Read More ›
EU
Iran’s Planned Railway To The Black Sea Will Be Dependent On Azerbaijan
Iran’s Planned Railway To The Black Sea Will Be Dependent On Azerbaijan By Andrew Korybko A popular Telegram channel falsely claimed that this is a “checkmate to US/Zangezur plans” and even shared a map showing a different route than what was… Read More ›
Direct NATO Intervention In Ukraine Might Soon Dangerously Turn Into A Fait Accompli
Direct NATO Intervention In Ukraine Might Soon Dangerously Turn Into A Fait Accompli By Andrew Korybko Trump’s negotiating strategy is to “escalate to-de-escalate” in a very risky attempt to coerce concessions, which he might soon apply against Putin after being emboldened… Read More ›
Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin?
Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin? By Andrew Korybko He might hypothetically agree that the resumption of NATO’s present support for Ukraine (arms, intelligence, logistics, etc.) in the event of another conflict wouldn’t cross Russia’s red… Read More ›
US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India And China Back Together
US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India And China Back Together By Andrew Korybko Any meaningful improvement of Sino-Indo ties, especially in the economic dimension, could prompt Trump to either walk back his hardline policy on India to court it away from… Read More ›
Poland’s New President Is Picking Fights With His Prime Minister, The EU, And Russia
Poland’s New President Is Picking Fights With His Prime Minister, The EU, And Russia By Andrew Korybko This is true to his character as an amateur boxer. Poland’s new president Karol Nawrocki came out swinging against Prime Minister Donald Tusk, the… Read More ›
Signals And Sanctions: Serbia’s Uneasy Dance With Russia And The EU
Signals And Sanctions: Serbia’s Uneasy Dance With Russia And The EU By Andrew Korybko For as pro-Western as Serbia’s foreign policy course becomes, Russia continues to eschew pressuring it and meddling in its affairs, which sharply contrasts with the West ramping… Read More ›
What’s Responsible For The Upcoming Putin-Trump Summit?
What’s Responsible For The Upcoming Putin-Trump Summit? By Andrew Korybko One of them must have offered more concessions to the other. Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov confirmed on Thursday that Putin and Trump could meet as soon as next week following Special Envoy Steve… Read More ›
Trump’s Shortened Deadline For Putin Will Soon Reveal Which Of Them Miscalculated
Trump’s Shortened Deadline For Putin Will Soon Reveal Which Of Them Miscalculated By Andrew Korybko Polar opposite understandings of the Sino-Indo prisoner’s dilemma lie at the core of their calculations. Trump announced on Monday that he was shortening his 50-day deadline to Putin… Read More ›
Von Der Leyen Just Subordinated The EU As The US’ Largest-Ever Vassal State
Von Der Leyen Just Subordinated The EU As The US’ Largest-Ever Vassal State By Andrew Korybko This outcome places the US on the path of restoring its unipolar hegemony via sequential lopsided trade deals as it likely sets its sights on… Read More ›