The Five Most Likely Outcomes From The Russian Drone Incursion Into Poland By Andrew Korybko Some commentators on both sides think that this might lead to World War III. NATO forces directly intercepted Russian drones for the first time since the special operation began… Read More ›
There Might Be More To The Von Der Leyen-GPS-Russia Hoax Than Scoring Cheap Infowar Points By Andrew Korybko NATO might exploit this hoax as the pretext for commencing large-scale but “plausibly deniable” electronic warfare provocations against Kaliningrad that could spike the… Read More ›
The Establishment Of Armenian-Pakistani Diplomatic Ties Is Part Of A Larger Powerplay By Andrew Korybko It’s about turbocharging the emerging Turkish-Azeri-Pak bloc by giving Islamabad access to TRIPP for facilitating trade with Turkiye and Europe in order to consolidate this bloc’s… Read More ›
The ‘Power Of Siberia 2’ Pipeline Deal Signifies The Failure Of Trump’s Eurasian Grand Strategy By Andrew Korybko Trump’s escalatory signals in Ukraine, the Indo-US split that he induced, and the attendant alleviation of the Sino-Indo security dilemma freed Russia up… Read More ›
China Is Unlikely To Play A Major Role In The Ukrainian Endgame By Andrew Korybko The most that China is expected to do is deploy peacekeepers together with other countries per a potentially forthcoming UNSC Resolution that would likely see these… Read More ›
Here’s What the US’ Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Look Like By Andrew Korybko Trump appears to be pushing his luck with Putin, who’s open to compromises, not concessions, let alone significant security ones. If this approach doesn’t change, then a… Read More ›
Iran’s Planned Railway To The Black Sea Will Be Dependent On Azerbaijan By Andrew Korybko A popular Telegram channel falsely claimed that this is a “checkmate to US/Zangezur plans” and even shared a map showing a different route than what was… Read More ›
Direct NATO Intervention In Ukraine Might Soon Dangerously Turn Into A Fait Accompli By Andrew Korybko Trump’s negotiating strategy is to “escalate to-de-escalate” in a very risky attempt to coerce concessions, which he might soon apply against Putin after being emboldened… Read More ›
Which Western Security Guarantees For Ukraine Might Be Acceptable To Putin? By Andrew Korybko He might hypothetically agree that the resumption of NATO’s present support for Ukraine (arms, intelligence, logistics, etc.) in the event of another conflict wouldn’t cross Russia’s red… Read More ›
US Pressure Might Inadvertently Bring India And China Back Together By Andrew Korybko Any meaningful improvement of Sino-Indo ties, especially in the economic dimension, could prompt Trump to either walk back his hardline policy on India to court it away from… Read More ›