Ukraine’s Black Sea Gamble Threatens Global Trade And Risks Wider War By Uriel Araujo Ukraine’s expanding Black Sea attacks are disrupting shipping, raising insurance costs, and threatening global food and energy trade. As “wild-card” Zelensky raises the stakes (angering the US),… Read More ›
Europe’s New Energy Trap: From Nord Stream To The Strait Of Hormuz By Uriel Araujo Europe has sharply reduced its dependence on Russian gas, but at what cost? The US-caused Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted oil, diesel and LNG supplies… Read More ›
From Hormuz To Malacca: How The Iran War Is Reshaping The Indian Ocean By Uriel Araujo The crisis around the Strait of Hormuz and the US-Iran war is not confined to the Persian Gulf, as its impacts extend into the Indian… Read More ›
US Strategic Oil Reserves Hit A 43-Year Low: How Long Can Washington Sustain The Iran War? By Uriel Araujo The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has fallen to a 43-year low while the Iran conflict continues to disrupt oil supplies and shipping…. Read More ›
Could Saudi-Houthi Tensions Turn The Red Sea Into A New Strait Of Hormuz? By Uriel Araujo Rising tensions between Saudi Arabia and the Houthis illustrate how the Middle East continues to be shaped by the legacy of the Iraq War and… Read More ›
The Pentagon’s Trillion-Dollar Crisis Threatens America’s Superpower Status By Uriel Araujo Despite spending more than $1 trillion annually on defence, the United States faces procurement failures, industrial decline, leadership turmoil, and mounting costs from the Iran conflict. Growing fiscal dysfunction and… Read More ›
Trump Cut A Deal With Iran, But Can He Restrain Israel? By Uriel Araujo The US-Iran ceasefire has allowed both sides to claim victory, yet Tehran has secured the more enduring strategic gains, with sanctions relief, and strategic leverage. Washington now… Read More ›
The Iran War And The End Of Uncontested American Primacy By Uriel Araujo As the Iran crisis reshapes the geopolitical landscape, Washington faces mounting strategic, military and financial pressures. New analyses suggest that the age of uncontested US primacy may already… Read More ›
The Strategic Calculations Influencing Trump’s And Putin’s Upcoming Meetings With Xi By Andrew Korybko A US deal with China without one with Russia would be to Russia’s disadvantage and vice versa, but no US deal with either of them might disadvantage… Read More ›
US Missile Deployments In The Philippines And The Rising Taiwan Crisis By Uriel Araujo The latest Balikatan military exercises exemplify a deeper transformation underway in Asia. Washington’s deployment of anti-ship missile systems near Taiwan, alongside expanding military cooperation with the Philippines… Read More ›