Merkel’s “Heresy”: Did Poland Help Trigger Ukraine’s War? By Uriel Araujo Angela Merkel’s recent claim that Poland and the Baltic states bear some responsibility for the conflict in Ukraine has caused an uproar. Still, her point — rooted in realist geopolitics… Read More ›
Ukraine
Europe’s Nord Stream Headache: Poland, Germany, And Ukraine Clash Over Pipeline Sabotage
Europe’s Nord Stream Headache: Poland, Germany, And Ukraine Clash Over Pipeline Sabotage By Uriel Araujo The arrest of a Ukrainian national accused of helping blow up the Nord Stream pipelines is deepening mistrust within the EU. As Kiev allegedly pressures Warsaw,… Read More ›
Tomahawks In Ukraine: Why Russia’s Restraint Signals A Managed Escalation Path
Tomahawks In Ukraine: Why Russia’s Restraint Signals A Managed Escalation Path By Andrew Korybko The precedent set by Russia’s restrained response to Ukraine obtaining the F-16s, which could also be nuclear-equipped, suggests that tensions with the US will remain manageable if… Read More ›
Why Does Poland Refuse To Hand Over A Nord Stream Bombing Suspect To Germany?
Why Does Poland Refuse To Hand Over A Nord Stream Bombing Suspect To Germany? By Andrew Korybko Tusk would defy public opinion, doom the ruling liberal-globalist coalition’s already dismal prospects of remaining in power after fall 2027’s next parliamentary election, and… Read More ›
An Ethnic Ukrainian Lobby Might Soon Take Shape In The Polish Sejm
An Ethnic Ukrainian Lobby Might Soon Take Shape In The Polish Sejm By Andrew Korybko Poland’s territorial integrity and possibly even its statehood could be threatened if the authorities don’t thwart this scenario by at the very least amending the Citizenship… Read More ›
Israel’s Reported Transfer Of US Patriots To Ukraine Won’t Significantly Change Anything
Israel’s Reported Transfer Of US Patriots To Ukraine Won’t Significantly Change Anything By Andrew Korybko It would be regrettable from Russia’s perspective but not surprising if true. Zelensky claimed in late September that “The Israeli system has been operating in Ukraine for a… Read More ›
Beyond Ukraine: Norway Becomes The West’s Silent Front In Arctic Tensions With Russia
Beyond Ukraine: Norway Becomes The West’s Silent Front In Arctic Tensions With Russia By Uriel Araujo As NATO conducts exercises off Norway’s coast and Washington deploys spy aircraft, Arctic tensions are reaching a breaking point. Moscow’s Arctic strategy, once centred on… Read More ›
Five Reasons Why The Latest Czech Elections Were So Important
Five Reasons Why The Latest Czech Elections Were So Important By Andrew Korybko This could most significantly provide the domestic political basis for reviving the Visegrad Group. Populist-nationalist politician Andrej Babis is poised to return to the premiership after his party’s… Read More ›
Putin To Warsaw: Don’t Repeat 1939, Or Risk World War III
Putin To Warsaw: Don’t Repeat 1939, Or Risk World War III By Andrew Korybko He arguably tried to convey – however wonkishly and indirectly—that he’d be receptive to his Polish counterpart calling him to de-escalate tensions in order to avert World… Read More ›
Re-Evaluating Russia’s Special Operation In Light Of The Valdai Club’s Startling Insight
Re-Evaluating Russia’s Special Operation In Light Of The Valdai Club’s Startling Insight By Andrew Korybko To be clear, the Valdai Club only represents one of Russia’s policymaking factions and their insight might not accurately reflect Putin’s calculations, which could always change… Read More ›