Why Russia’s Accidental Missile Incursion Into Poland Won’t Lead To Escalation By Andrew Korybko All in all, this isn’t all that big of a deal, unlike how some are framing it. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk claimed that the missile that entered his… Read More ›
Why Did Ukraine Defy Trump’s Reported Warning Against Attacking Non-Russian Vessels In The Black Sea? By Andrew Korybko The optics are terrible for the Trump Administration. The partially US-owned Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which facilitates landlocked Kazakhstan’s oil exports to the… Read More ›
What’s Behind Iran And Ukraine’s Sudden Mutual De-Escalation? By Andrew Korybko The US, Iran, and possibly also Russia appear to have calculated that it’s not in their interests, only in Ukraine’s and Israel’s. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi’s latest tweet came as… Read More ›
Poland’s Trilateral Patriot Production Proposal Throws A Wrench In Ukraine’s Plans By Andrew Korybko This can be seen as another attempt by Poland to clinch significant military-security deals, including a permanent US base and possibly hosting nukes, for convincing Trump 2.0… Read More ›
Europe’s Rearmament Is Reviving A Dangerous Franco-German Rivalry By Uriel Araujo Europe’s military buildup masks growing tensions between France and Germany over defence, industry, and strategic leadership. The collapse of FCAS, renewed industrial nationalism, and continued dependence on Washington reveal a… Read More ›
The Ukrainian Conflict’s “Southern Front” Is Becoming A Maritime War Of Attrition By Andrew Korybko The heightened stakes associated with this latest phase of the conflict suggest that an even greater escalation might be inevitable, but it’s still possible that this… Read More ›
Ukraine’s Drone Campaign Against The “Russian Amazon” Is Driven By Political Motives By Andrew Korybko The goal is to create a growing class of malcontents by inflicting major harm to small business owners who might then shift the electoral odds against… Read More ›
Turkiye’s Maritime Security Pledge To Ukraine Threatens Russia’s Black Sea Interests By Andrew Korybko Its newfound commitment to ensuring Ukraine’s maritime security poses a serious threat to Russia. Turkish Foreign Minister and former spy chief Hakan Fidan confirmed during a joint… Read More ›
The Ankara Declaration Committed NATO To A Forever War With Russia By Andrew Korybko Its members’ pledge of €140 billion divided between the rest of this year and the next disincentivizes Russia to cease hostilities even once it obtains full control… Read More ›
The EU’s Anti-Russian Sanctions Are Colliding With Europe’s Orthodox Christianity By Uriel Araujo The EU’s latest sanctions package has exposed deep divisions over Russia, with Bulgaria blocking measures against Patriarch Kirill and other key figures. Italy has echoed Bulgaria’s concerns. Is… Read More ›