China’s Shipbuilding Might: Over 200 Times The U.S. Capacity By Uriel Araujo The unipolar world is vanishing: China’s naval dominance, with shipbuilding capacity over 200 times greater than the US, reflects US industrial decline. Beijing’s industrial might and dual-use shipyards challenge… Read More ›
USA
The Devil’s In The Details As Trump Announces “Immediate” Russian-Ukrainian Ceasefire Talks
The Devil’s In The Details As Trump Announces “Immediate” Russian-Ukrainian Ceasefire Talks By Andrew Korybko The US’ policy towards the conflict will likely depend on the course of these upcoming negotiations. Trump appeared to have recognized the limits of third-party mediation… Read More ›
Belarus Shouldn’t Worry About Russia Not Ensuring Its Interests In Any Peace Deal
Belarus Shouldn’t Worry About Russia Not Ensuring Its Interests In Any Peace Deal By Andrew Korybko A top diplomat’s indirectly expressed concerns about this are understandable but unnecessary. Belarusian First Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Lukashevich made a curious comment in a… Read More ›
Trump’s New Middle East Doctrine: Is The US Sidelining Israel?
Trump’s New Middle East Doctrine: Is The US Sidelining Israel? By Uriel Araujo Donald Trump’s 2025 Middle East policy balances Gulf investments and coercive diplomacy, pressuring Israel to align with US interests while still sidelining Palestinian concerns. His strategic pivot, marked… Read More ›
Russia-Ukraine: The Ball’s In Trump’s Court After The Latest Istanbul Talks
Russia-Ukraine: The Ball’s In Trump’s Court After The Latest Istanbul Talks By Andrew Korybko The mixed signals that he sent on Friday suggest that he hasn’t made up his mind about what to do. The first bilateral Russian-Ukrainian talks in over… Read More ›
Trump’s Desired Return To Bagram Airbase Could Reshape South Asian Geopolitics
Trump’s Desired Return To Bagram Airbase Could Reshape South Asian Geopolitics By Andrew Korybko This could set into motion a diplomatic chain reaction that ultimately places huge pressure upon India. Trump repeated late-February’s plans for the US to restore its military… Read More ›
Is Poland Really Planning To Send Troops To Ukraine Like The US’ Envoy Claimed?
Is Poland Really Planning To Send Troops To Ukraine Like The US’ Envoy Claimed? By Andrew Korybko Poland wants influence and profits in Ukraine, but it’s unclear how far it’ll go to obtain and secure them. US Special Envoy on Ukraine… Read More ›
Yemen Taught Trump Some Lessons That He’d Do Well To Apply Towards Ukraine
Yemen Taught Trump Some Lessons That He’d Do Well To Apply Towards Ukraine By Andrew Korybko The lessons from Trump’s Yemeni debacle could inform his future decisions on Ukraine. Five New York Times (NYT) journalists collaborated to produce a detailed report… Read More ›
Third-Party Mediation Between Russia And Ukraine Is Approaching Its Limits
Third-Party Mediation Between Russia And Ukraine Is Approaching Its Limits By Andrew Korybko Trump is about to be placed into a dilemma due to his unwillingness or inability to coerce Ukraine into Russia’s demanded concessions. The US’ mediation between Russia and… Read More ›
US’ Anti-China Campaign And Its Impact On BRICS In The Shifting Balance Of Global Power
US’ Anti-China Campaign And Its Impact On BRICS In The Shifting Balance Of Global Power By Uriel Araujo Building on Biden’s legacy, Trump’s approach intensifies tariffs and anti-Chinese propaganda while partially retreating from dual containment and, paradoxically, from soft power initiatives… Read More ›