Armenia’s Ultimatum Over Russian Gas Prices Amounts To A National Suicide Threat By Andrew Korybko Leaving the CSTO and the EAEU before membership in NATO and the EU is assured would amount to national suicide since it could embolden Azerbaijan and/or… Read More ›
CSTO
The Moment Of Truth Is Arriving In Russian-Armenian Relations
The Moment Of Truth Is Arriving In Russian-Armenian Relations By Andrew Korybko Russia tacitly acknowledges that June’s parliamentary elections represent a “Battle for Armenia” just like Hungary’s own later this month represent a “Battle for Hungary”. Putin recently hosted Armenian Prime… Read More ›
How Might Russia Respond If Its ‘Technical Ally’ North Korea Came Under Attack?
How Might Russia Respond If Its ‘Technical Ally’ North Korea Came Under Attack? By Andrew Korybko Each is the other’s ally, but within lesser practical limits than Russia is to its CSTO allies or the US to its NATO ones, which… Read More ›
Vance’s South Caucasus Trip Tightens The West’s Strategic Encirclement Of Russia
Vance’s South Caucasus Trip Tightens The West’s Strategic Encirclement Of Russia By Andrew Korybko The timing amidst continued US-mediated talks between Russia and Ukraine suggests that the US expects this ramped-up pressure to raise the chances of coercing concessions from Russia…. Read More ›
Belarus’ Dramatic Pivot On Poland Points To A Deepening Rift With Russia
Belarus’ Dramatic Pivot On Poland Points To A Deepening Rift With Russia By Andrew Korybko This is arguably the result of growing US influence over Belarus throughout the course of their talks. Russia and Belarus coordinate military policy through the CSTO,… Read More ›
Ukrainian Drone Attacks On The CPC Threaten To Upend Kazakhstan And Reshape Russia’s Southern Flank
Ukrainian Drone Attacks On The CPC Threaten To Upend Kazakhstan And Reshape Russia’s Southern Flank By Andrew Korybko Continued strikes across 2026 could lead to protracted disruptions that greatly reduce Kazakhstan’s budgetary revenue and result in social spending slashes for next… Read More ›
Kazakhstan Might Have Just Placed Itself On An Irreversible Collision Course With Russia
Kazakhstan Might Have Just Placed Itself On An Irreversible Collision Course With Russia By Andrew Korybko The production of NATO-standard shells hints that Kazakhstan plans to follow in Azerbaijan’s footsteps by having its armed forces conform with the bloc’s standards ahead… Read More ›
How Can The US Manage Turkish-Russian Tensions In The South Caucasus And Central Asia?
How Can The US Manage Turkish-Russian Tensions In The South Caucasus and Central Asia? By Andrew Korybko The essence of these five policy proposals is to preemptively avert another NATO-Russian security dilemma and the rise of associated threats along Russia’s frontiers… Read More ›
The “Community Of Central Asia” Could Reduce Russia’s Regional Influence
The “Community Of Central Asia” Could Reduce Russia’s Regional Influence By Andrew Korybko This new group might foster a stronger sense of shared regional identity among its members, even ethnic in the pan-Turkic sense (Tajikistan being the exception), than the one… Read More ›
Why Did Kazakhstan Join The Abraham Accords When It Already Recognizes Israel?
Why Did Kazakhstan Join The Abraham Accords When It Already Recognizes Israel? By Andrew Korybko Its leader likely did this as a personal favour for Trump so that he’d have his back if trouble ever arises with Russia such as if… Read More ›