Armenia’s Western Pivot: Strategic Autonomy Or A New Security Dependency? By Uriel Araujo Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is freezing CSTO ties, questioning the Russian base in Gyumri, and racing toward the EU, while warming to Azerbaijan and Turkey. The question… Read More ›
Russia Could Make An Energy Truce Conditional On Resuming Pipeline Exports To Europe By Andrew Korybko Restoring some of their pre-2022 complex mutual interdependence through US mediation, even if only for the wintertime, could facilitate a series of pragmatic diplomatic-military compromises… Read More ›
Belarus And Poland’s New “Snowdrop Diplomacy” Could Lead To A Thaw In The New Cold War By Andrew Korybko Sikorski’s historic meeting with his Belarusian counterpart, and especially his revelation that “meetings are also taking place with other ministries and at… Read More ›
Can Europe Achieve Space Independence Amid Its Energy Crisis And Dependence On The US? By Uriel Araujo Europe is pushing for greater autonomy in outer space as tensions with the US reshape transatlantic relations. But high energy costs and industrial vulnerabilities… Read More ›
Why The Ukrainian Attack At The Benedictine Monastery Will Be Seen As An Attack On Polishness By Andrew Korybko Catholicism is an important part of Polish identity so the optics of a Ukrainian attacking priests and nuns amount to a Ukrainian… Read More ›
Europe’s New Energy Trap: From Nord Stream To The Strait Of Hormuz By Uriel Araujo Europe has sharply reduced its dependence on Russian gas, but at what cost? The US-caused Strait of Hormuz crisis has disrupted oil, diesel and LNG supplies… Read More ›
A Massive Belarusian-US Potash Deal Could Lead To Lukashenko’s Re-Embrace By The West By Andrew Korybko What’s most important is that Belarus coordinates all of this with Russia and that Lukashenko doesn’t pull any surprises on Putin that could inadvertently lead… Read More ›
Zelensky Is Manipulating Trump’s Russiagate PTSD To Get The Upper Hand Over Him By Andrew Korybko Trump is too afraid that even the briefest US aid cut-off window to Ukraine as punishment for Zelensky’s attacks against Russian refineries would be exploited… Read More ›
Goodbye To Trans-Arctic Cooperation? US-Greenland Deal Tightens Encirclement Of Russia By Uriel Araujo Trump’s new security deal with Greenland and Denmark gives Washington a deeper military foothold in the Arctic. The agreement expands the US-NATO security architecture around Greenland – while… Read More ›
Fico Vows to Keep Slovakia Out of War as NATO-Russia Tensions Rise By Andrew Korybko Article 5 doesn’t mandate the use of military force in support of an ally, and it certainly wasn’t meant to be exploited by false flags (or… Read More ›