Why Russia’s Accidental Missile Incursion Into Poland Won’t Lead To Escalation By Andrew Korybko All in all, this isn’t all that big of a deal, unlike how some are framing it. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk claimed that the missile that entered his… Read More ›
Why Did Ukraine Defy Trump’s Reported Warning Against Attacking Non-Russian Vessels In The Black Sea? By Andrew Korybko The optics are terrible for the Trump Administration. The partially US-owned Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), which facilitates landlocked Kazakhstan’s oil exports to the… Read More ›
What’s Behind Iran And Ukraine’s Sudden Mutual De-Escalation? By Andrew Korybko The US, Iran, and possibly also Russia appear to have calculated that it’s not in their interests, only in Ukraine’s and Israel’s. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi’s latest tweet came as… Read More ›
Poland’s Trilateral Patriot Production Proposal Throws A Wrench In Ukraine’s Plans By Andrew Korybko This can be seen as another attempt by Poland to clinch significant military-security deals, including a permanent US base and possibly hosting nukes, for convincing Trump 2.0… Read More ›
Europe’s Rearmament Is Reviving A Dangerous Franco-German Rivalry By Uriel Araujo Europe’s military buildup masks growing tensions between France and Germany over defence, industry, and strategic leadership. The collapse of FCAS, renewed industrial nationalism, and continued dependence on Washington reveal a… Read More ›
The US’ Hybrid War Against Russia, China, And Iran Is A De Facto World War By Andrew Korybko Awareness of this fact could improve Russian policy formulation going forward. Ivan Timofeev, one of the Valdai Club’s programme directors and the Director… Read More ›
The Ukrainian Conflict’s “Southern Front” Is Becoming A Maritime War Of Attrition By Andrew Korybko The heightened stakes associated with this latest phase of the conflict suggest that an even greater escalation might be inevitable, but it’s still possible that this… Read More ›
French Media Revealed Russia’s Central Role In The Algerian-Malian Rapprochement By Andrew Korybko Putin allegedly told his Malian counterpart to patch up his problems with Algeria during talks at the Kremlin last summer while Lavrov reportedly told his own counterpart in… Read More ›
Ukraine’s Drone Campaign Against The “Russian Amazon” Is Driven By Political Motives By Andrew Korybko The goal is to create a growing class of malcontents by inflicting major harm to small business owners who might then shift the electoral odds against… Read More ›
Russia And Iran Can Use Carrots And Sticks To Get Azerbaijan To Demilitarize TRIPP By Andrew Korybko President Ilham Aliyev is a rational leader who might conclude that it’s better to cut mutually beneficial deals with Russia and Iran for resolving… Read More ›