Europe’s Nord Stream Headache: Poland, Germany, And Ukraine Clash Over Pipeline Sabotage By Uriel Araujo The arrest of a Ukrainian national accused of helping blow up the Nord Stream pipelines is deepening mistrust within the EU. As Kiev allegedly pressures Warsaw,… Read More ›
Russia
Tomahawks In Ukraine: Why Russia’s Restraint Signals A Managed Escalation Path
Tomahawks In Ukraine: Why Russia’s Restraint Signals A Managed Escalation Path By Andrew Korybko The precedent set by Russia’s restrained response to Ukraine obtaining the F-16s, which could also be nuclear-equipped, suggests that tensions with the US will remain manageable if… Read More ›
A Simple Quid Pro Quo Might Explain The Incipient Russian-Azeri Rapprochement
A Simple Quid Pro Quo Might Explain The Incipient Russian-Azeri Rapprochement By Andrew Korybko Aliyev might respect Russia’s sensitivities in Central Asia by not allowing TRIPP to be used for military purposes, while Putin could help him counterbalance the influence of… Read More ›
Why Does Poland Refuse To Hand Over A Nord Stream Bombing Suspect To Germany?
Why Does Poland Refuse To Hand Over A Nord Stream Bombing Suspect To Germany? By Andrew Korybko Tusk would defy public opinion, doom the ruling liberal-globalist coalition’s already dismal prospects of remaining in power after fall 2027’s next parliamentary election, and… Read More ›
The Netherlands And Belgium Will Play Crucial Roles In Containing Russia
The Netherlands And Belgium Will Play Crucial Roles In Containing Russia By Andrew Korybko The “race of logistics” between Russia and NATO, which is presently unfolding in the context of their proxy war in Ukraine, will continue even after the conflict… Read More ›
Israel’s Reported Transfer Of US Patriots To Ukraine Won’t Significantly Change Anything
Israel’s Reported Transfer Of US Patriots To Ukraine Won’t Significantly Change Anything By Andrew Korybko It would be regrettable from Russia’s perspective but not surprising if true. Zelensky claimed in late September that “The Israeli system has been operating in Ukraine for a… Read More ›
Beyond Ukraine: Norway Becomes The West’s Silent Front In Arctic Tensions With Russia
Beyond Ukraine: Norway Becomes The West’s Silent Front In Arctic Tensions With Russia By Uriel Araujo As NATO conducts exercises off Norway’s coast and Washington deploys spy aircraft, Arctic tensions are reaching a breaking point. Moscow’s Arctic strategy, once centred on… Read More ›
Five Reasons Why The Latest Czech Elections Were So Important
Five Reasons Why The Latest Czech Elections Were So Important By Andrew Korybko This could most significantly provide the domestic political basis for reviving the Visegrad Group. Populist-nationalist politician Andrej Babis is poised to return to the premiership after his party’s… Read More ›
Putin To Warsaw: Don’t Repeat 1939, Or Risk World War III
Putin To Warsaw: Don’t Repeat 1939, Or Risk World War III By Andrew Korybko He arguably tried to convey – however wonkishly and indirectly—that he’d be receptive to his Polish counterpart calling him to de-escalate tensions in order to avert World… Read More ›
Evaluating Reports That India Asked Russia To Cut Pakistan Off From Fighter Jet Engines
Evaluating Reports That India Asked Russia To Cut Pakistan Off From Fighter Jet Engines By Andrew Korybko These reports remain unconfirmed at the time of writing, but they aren’t unreasonable since India has every reason to want to deprive its rival… Read More ›