Iran’s Major Role In The Global Systemic Transition Makes It A Prime Hybrid War Target
Simply put, Iran has unexpectedly come to play a pivotal role in the global systemic transition to multipolarity through the means that were explained in this analysis, which is why the recent incident connected to its mandatory hijab policy is being exploited as the trigger event for another round of Hybrid War.
The US-led West’s Golden Billion is openly supporting the latest Colour Revolution attempt against Iran, which exploits domestic and international perceptions about a recent incident connected to its mandatory hijab policy to justify another round of Hybrid Warfare. As I explained in detail to Iran’s Young Journalists Club in November 2019, “US-Backed Hybrid War Aims To Destabilize Your Country” by exacerbating preexisting fault lines within society, which in this case includes one of its most well-known pieces of legislation, in order to catalyse a self-sustaining cycle of destabilization.
It’s therefore possible for observers to simultaneously recognize legitimate grievances from the perspective of some of the participants in this latest unrest while also concluding that the means that they’re employing to reform the targeted piece of legislation are contrary to their country’s objective interests. This makes the vast majority of the participants “useful idiots” of foreign powers while others are bona fide “agents of influence”. A few are also certainly on the payroll of hostile intelligence agencies. As such, the unfolding socio-political dynamics are both organic and manufactured.
The latest instability to rock Iran comes at a significant moment in the global systemic transition to multipolarity after the confluence of these complex processes accelerated as a result of the latest US-provoked phase of the Ukrainian Conflict that erupted in late February. The Islamic Republic has since come to function as part of India’s irreplaceable valve from Western pressure for Russia – which is driven by its grand strategic need to preemptively avert its partner’s potentially disproportionate dependence on China – through their joint revival of the North-South Transport Corridor (NSTC).
In fact, those three are now actively working together to informally create a third pole of influence in what can be described as the bi-multipolar world order. This paradigm refers to the American and Chinese superpowers exercising the most influence over the international system, followed by Great Powers like those three, below which are comparatively medium- and smaller-sized states with barely any influence. All three levels are expected to enter into varying degrees of cooperation with the states within their ranks and beyond, which will eventually lead to complex multipolarity (“multiplexity”).
Prior to that, however, this emerging Troika of Russia, India, and Iran envisages pioneering a form of tripolarity in Eurasia for facilitating the final phase of the ongoing global systemic transition. Russia and India cannot do this on their own due to obvious geographic reasons that greatly limit their mutual economic potential, ergo the need for both to rely on Iran to this end. From the US’ grand strategic perspective, it’s therefore absolutely imperative to remove Iran from this trilateral multipolar axis in order to “isolate” Russia, bring India back under its control, and thus preserve its declining hegemony.
Russia would be compelled to countenance accepting lopsided deals with China out of desperation if it couldn’t rely on India to serve as its alternative pressure valve through the NSTC if this megaproject was rendered unviable due to a self-sustaining Syrian-style cycle of Hybrid War in Iran. India, meanwhile, wouldn’t be able to rely on Russia to function as one of the cores of the third pole of influence that its leadership envisages creating without Iranian-enabled geo-economic connectivity. Iranian stability is therefore central to their complementary grand strategies.
Accordingly, Russia would become China’s “junior partner” in this worst-case scenario, which would put enormous pressure on India to become the US’ “junior partner” in order to hedge against the perceived threat posed by the People’s Republic turbocharging its rise as a superpower through unrestricted access to Russian resources. This outcome would indefinitely perpetuate the present bi-multipolar intermediary phase of the global systemic transition to multiplexity, which works against those two Great Powers’ grand strategic interests as well as their shared Iranian partner’s.
It’s with this goal in mind that the Golden Billion is doing its utmost to ensure that the latest Colour Revolution attempt in Iran does maximum damage to its target’s stability, all with a view towards rendering the NSTC unviable and thus strangling this emerging multipolar Troika in its infancy. Simply put, Iran has unexpectedly come to play a pivotal role in the global systemic transition to multipolarity through the means that were explained in this analysis, which is why the recent incident connected to its mandatory hijab policy is being exploited as the trigger event for another round of Hybrid War.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.
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Categories: Analysis, Geopolitics, International Affairs
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